Excelsior vs Helmond Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 1
FCO
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 0
ADO
25%
24%
51%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1997 |
TEL
3 - 1
EXC
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
EXC
3 - 0
FCD
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Helmond Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1997 |
HEL
0 - 1
EIN
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1997 |
HEL
1 - 1
TEL
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
HEL
1 - 1
FCD
55%
23%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1997 |
VVV
2 - 2
HEL
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1997 |
HEL
1 - 4
BOS
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |