Excelsior vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
HER
4 - 0
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
27%
25%
48%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 2
GAE
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
3 - 0
RJC
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TWE
1 - 0
SCH
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
AZA
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
UTR
1 - 0
SCH
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |