Excelsior vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 0
EXC
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
VVV
3 - 1
EXC
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 2
TWE
31%
27%
42%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
SCH
3 - 3
SPA
64%
20%
15%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 1
SCH
67%
20%
14%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 0
WIL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
AJA
4 - 0
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
SCH
5 - 1
FEY
31%
24%
45%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |