Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
BVO
1 - 5
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
ZWO
2 - 1
EXC
61%
20%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
EXC
2 - 0
EIN
66%
19%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HER
2 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
EXC
4 - 2
HEL
64%
19%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2001 |
HFC
0 - 0
BOS
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
FCO
1 - 4
HFC
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
BVO
2 - 1
HFC
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
HFC
3 - 0
FCE
44%
25%
32%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
GAE
2 - 1
HFC
67%
18%
14%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |