Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
RBC
1 - 5
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
EXC
4 - 2
ADO
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
EXC
3 - 1
VOL
37%
26%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
FCO
3 - 0
EXC
67%
19%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1998 |
HFC
1 - 5
FCE
25%
25%
51%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
HFC
1 - 2
VOL
31%
26%
44%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
FCO
4 - 2
HFC
71%
17%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
HER
1 - 1
HFC
59%
21%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1998 |
HFC
1 - 0
TEL
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |