Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
EXC
1 - 2
BVV
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
HER
2 - 2
EXC
67%
18%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1998 |
ZWO
0 - 1
EXC
78%
14%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
EXC
2 - 3
BVO
24%
26%
51%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
EXC
0 - 2
HEL
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
FCD
2 - 2
HFC
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
TEL
0 - 1
HFC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1998 |
HFC
0 - 1
EIN
31%
25%
43%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1998 |
HFC
0 - 5
GAE
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1998 |
VVV
1 - 1
HFC
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |