Excelsior vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
SPA
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 3
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1972 |
EXC
2 - 4
UTR
30%
29%
42%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
HFC
0 - 0
ADO
19%
23%
58%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
BOS
0 - 0
HFC
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
HFC
4 - 0
TWE
20%
27%
53%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
AJA
3 - 0
HFC
97%
3%
1%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
FEY
2 - 1
HFC
93%
6%
2%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |