Excelsior vs GVVV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
HER
27%
25%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 2
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
VIT
43%
25%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 5
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
GVVV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GVV
4 - 0
MON
82%
13%
6%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
HHC
2 - 2
GVV
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GVV
4 - 1
SVZ
71%
17%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
IJS
1 - 3
GVV
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
ZWA
1 - 2
GVV
18%
19%
62%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |