Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 0
EXC
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
VIT
1 - 4
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EXC
3 - 1
UTR
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
AJA
4 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UTR
2 - 2
GRA
71%
18%
10%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 4
AJA
11%
18%
71%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 0
VVV
57%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
AZA
5 - 1
GRA
74%
18%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
HER
2 - 0
GRA
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |