Excelsior vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
HER
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2008 |
EXC
2 - 1
FEY
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
GRO
3 - 2
EXC
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
SCH
34%
25%
40%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 1
RJC
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
SPA
6 - 1
GRA
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
1 - 2
AZA
25%
23%
52%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIT
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |