Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
PSV
2 - 0
EXC
80%
15%
6%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
1 - 3
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
2 - 2
NEC
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SCH
2 - 1
EXC
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 3
AZA
18%
23%
60%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
GAE
1 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GRO
1 - 1
GAE
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
PSV
1 - 0
GAE
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GAE
1 - 3
SCH
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2016 |
GAE
0 - 1
WIL
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |