Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
APE
3 - 2
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
TEL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 3
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 4
GAE
53%
22%
26%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FCD
2 - 0
GAE
30%
23%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
GAE
0 - 3
HER
39%
25%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 0
GAE
20%
22%
58%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
GAE
2 - 1
APE
65%
19%
16%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |