Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 1
HEL
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
FOR
2 - 4
EXC
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
HFC
1 - 3
EXC
21%
23%
56%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 0
BOS
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
HER
0 - 2
GAE
63%
20%
18%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
GAE
4 - 4
FCO
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
TEL
2 - 1
GAE
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
GAE
2 - 2
APE
72%
16%
12%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
VVV
4 - 3
GAE
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |