Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
4 - 0
EXC
90%
7%
3%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRO
42%
26%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
HFC
2 - 2
EXC
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
EXC
0 - 2
FEY
22%
24%
55%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
FOR
2 - 0
EXC
48%
26%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
GAE
1 - 2
RJC
54%
23%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
PSV
7 - 1
GAE
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
GAE
1 - 4
AZA
29%
23%
48%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
GAE
0 - 1
BOS
66%
19%
15%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
AJA
3 - 1
GAE
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |