Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
EIN
2 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
EXC
2 - 0
MVV
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
68%
21%
11%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 5
GAE
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
GAE
1 - 0
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
ADO
2 - 1
GAE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1979 |
GAE
5 - 3
SPA
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1979 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
GAE
0 - 1
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |