Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 2
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 0
HFC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
BOS
2 - 2
EXC
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
BVO
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 3
HER
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
FCO
3 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
1 - 1
TEL
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
FCE
2 - 0
FOR
74%
18%
9%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
0 - 1
FCD
49%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |