Excelsior vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
2 - 2
BVV
59%
22%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
ZWO
4 - 2
EXC
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
EXC
1 - 2
EIN
54%
22%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
RBC
3 - 3
EXC
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1999 |
FCD
2 - 4
EXC
48%
24%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 2
SPA
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
0 - 1
SCH
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
AJA
4 - 1
FOR
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
FOR
4 - 1
BVO
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
RJC
3 - 0
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |