Excelsior vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
61.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
48%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 0
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
EXC
1 - 3
UTR
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
0 - 2
FEY
28%
25%
48%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FEY
2 - 0
UTR
61%
21%
19%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ZWO
2 - 2
FEY
22%
23%
55%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
FEY
8 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
7%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 1
FEY
52%
24%
25%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |