Excelsior vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
AJA
7 - 2
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
EXC
2 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ZWO
1 - 1
EXC
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1981 |
DTB
3 - 0
FEY
28%
24%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
FEY
0 - 1
PSV
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 1
FEY
19%
25%
57%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
FEY
4 - 0
SSO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
FEY
6 - 0
WAG
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |