Excelsior vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
71.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.2%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
AMS
0 - 0
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
EXC
0 - 1
UTR
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
66%
22%
13%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
40%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 0
EXC
89%
8%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
FEY
1 - 1
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
AJA
6 - 0
FEY
58%
20%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FEY
3 - 1
TEL
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
TWE
2 - 0
FEY
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FEY
5 - 0
EIN
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |