Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
BOS
1 - 1
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
EXC
1 - 6
FEY
10%
22%
68%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
BVV
2 - 3
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1987 |
UTR
5 - 3
EXC
64%
23%
14%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1987 |
EXC
2 - 3
AZA
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1987 |
ZWO
1 - 1
ADO
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1987 |
HFC
1 - 1
ZWO
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
ZWO
0 - 1
RJC
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1987 |
GAE
0 - 3
ZWO
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1987 |
ZWO
0 - 1
TWE
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |