Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 1
GRO
44%
25%
31%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
GAE
3 - 2
EXC
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1984 |
ZWO
0 - 0
VOL
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
RJC
2 - 0
ZWO
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 5
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
UTR
4 - 0
ZWO
72%
17%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 4
GRO
37%
27%
37%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |