Excelsior vs FC Wageningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
RJC
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 0
GAE
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
UTR
2 - 0
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
FC Wageningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
WAG
0 - 3
PSV
20%
21%
60%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 1
WAG
50%
25%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
WAG
1 - 2
SPA
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
WAG
1 - 1
RJC
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
GAE
2 - 2
WAG
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |