Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
41.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
FEY
1 - 1
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
EXC
1 - 1
MVV
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 0
EXC
78%
14%
7%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 2
DWS
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
NEC
1 - 0
EXC
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1972 |
UTR
0 - 0
SPA
40%
23%
38%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
ADO
1 - 1
UTR
70%
16%
14%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1972 |
UTR
1 - 1
TWE
47%
23%
30%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1972 |
AJA
4 - 0
UTR
88%
8%
5%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1972 |
UTR
6 - 3
BOS
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |