Excelsior vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
43%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1970 |
EXC
1 - 1
AJA
20%
20%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
SHS
2 - 3
EXC
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1970 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
79%
12%
8%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
UTR
4 - 1
TEL
70%
19%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
VOL
2 - 3
UTR
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
UTR
2 - 1
DWS
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ADO
4 - 0
UTR
63%
19%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
UTR
0 - 0
MVV
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |