Excelsior vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
13.2%
28%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
54.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
TEL
1 - 1
EXC
71%
19%
10%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 0
WAG
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 1
EXC
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
24%
60%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
EXC
2 - 2
SPA
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1974 |
TWE
1 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
TWE
2 - 1
MOL
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1974 |
MVV
2 - 4
TWE
22%
30%
48%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1974 |
TWE
3 - 0
ADO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1974 |
TWE
1 - 1
IPS
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |