Excelsior vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1984 |
GAE
3 - 2
EXC
65%
19%
15%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
1 - 1
BOS
57%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1984 |
FOR
1 - 1
EXC
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
EXC
3 - 2
AZA
25%
24%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
AJA
3 - 0
EXC
91%
7%
3%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1984 |
GRO
0 - 1
SPA
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
MVV
0 - 3
GRO
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1984 |
GRO
4 - 2
TWE
59%
22%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1984 |
ZWO
1 - 4
GRO
37%
27%
37%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
GRO
3 - 1
HFC
62%
20%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |