Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
FCO
0 - 2
EXC
21%
24%
56%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
47%
23%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
RJC
1 - 4
EXC
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BOS
3 - 3
EXC
30%
25%
44%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
JUT
2 - 2
EIN
43%
24%
32%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
EIN
1 - 4
VOL
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
FCO
3 - 1
EIN
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
EIN
0 - 3
BVO
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
EIN
2 - 0
MVV
55%
23%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |