Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
EXC
7 - 2
SVT
92%
6%
2%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
HEL
1 - 1
EXC
44%
24%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
SPA
3 - 2
EXC
51%
22%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 0
HFC
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
WES
3 - 5
EIN
24%
21%
55%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2004 |
FOR
3 - 4
EIN
39%
25%
35%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 3
SPA
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
HFC
2 - 2
EIN
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 3
BOS
20%
23%
57%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |