Excelsior vs FC Eindhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
9.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
MVV
1 - 2
EXC
20%
22%
58%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
TEL
0 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
43%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
3 - 1
APE
75%
16%
10%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
VVV
4 - 2
EXC
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
EXC
2 - 1
FCE
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
FC Eindhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2004 |
EIN
0 - 1
HER
22%
23%
54%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2004 |
APE
0 - 0
EIN
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
EIN
3 - 1
VVV
33%
25%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2004 |
FCE
2 - 0
EIN
67%
20%
13%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2004 |
EIN
1 - 1
FCD
54%
24%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |