Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
43.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 2
MVV
27%
25%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
EIN
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
16%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 0
TEL
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 3
GRA
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2012 |
BVO
3 - 2
EXC
74%
16%
9%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 2
BOS
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
FCD
1 - 1
GAE
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
FCD
2 - 4
HEL
39%
25%
36%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
TEL
2 - 0
FCD
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
FCD
0 - 0
FCE
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |