Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
MVV
0 - 0
EXC
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
VOL
0 - 0
EXC
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2006 |
EXC
4 - 1
GRA
66%
20%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 2
HFC
70%
18%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
ZWO
0 - 5
EXC
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2006 |
EIN
1 - 3
FCD
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2006 |
FCD
2 - 2
BOS
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
FCD
1 - 2
BVV
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2006 |
APE
2 - 1
FCD
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2006 |
VOL
1 - 1
FCD
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |