Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1997 |
EXC
2 - 3
GAE
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
VVV
1 - 1
EXC
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1997 |
EXC
1 - 2
BOS
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1997 |
RBC
1 - 2
EXC
58%
21%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
FCE
0 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1997 |
FCD
0 - 0
EIN
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1997 |
TEL
1 - 0
FCD
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1997 |
ADO
3 - 0
FCD
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
FCD
1 - 0
VVV
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
BOS
2 - 2
FCD
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |