Excelsior vs Dordrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
SPA
3 - 3
EXC
77%
15%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
EXC
3 - 1
BOS
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 3
PSV
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1983 |
EXC
0 - 2
UTR
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dordrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
FCD
1 - 2
RJC
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1983 |
PSV
5 - 0
FCD
88%
8%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 0
FCD
87%
9%
4%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
FCD
2 - 2
GAE
41%
27%
33%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |