Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
70%
18%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
15%
22%
64%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
PSV
2 - 1
EXC
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
TEL
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 2
JUT
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
RJC
1 - 5
BOS
37%
27%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
BOS
3 - 0
ALK
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 0
BOS
20%
24%
56%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BOS
2 - 3
GAE
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |