Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
GRA
2 - 1
EXC
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
2 - 0
BVV
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
0 - 2
SPA
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
BVO
0 - 2
EXC
28%
24%
48%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
EXC
1 - 2
HER
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
FCO
2 - 1
BOS
23%
23%
54%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
BOS
0 - 2
JON
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2003 |
BOS
2 - 1
TEL
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2003 |
APE
1 - 2
BOS
14%
22%
64%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |