Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
EXC
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 1
AJA
8%
16%
76%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1973 |
TEL
1 - 3
EXC
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
EXC
2 - 0
NAC
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
GRO
1 - 1
EXC
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1973 |
BOS
2 - 1
ADO
25%
27%
47%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1973 |
BOS
3 - 0
UTR
26%
27%
48%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
BOS
77%
15%
8%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BOS
1 - 2
AJA
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
TEL
3 - 1
BOS
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |