Excelsior vs Den Bosch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
VOL
1 - 0
EXC
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 1
TEL
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
TEL
1 - 0
EXC
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1971 |
EXC
0 - 0
VOL
50%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
DWS
0 - 0
EXC
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Den Bosch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1971 |
BOS
0 - 3
SPA
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1971 |
ADO
2 - 1
BOS
73%
16%
11%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1958 |
DWS
3 - 1
BOS
67%
17%
16%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1958 |
BOS
0 - 2
FOR
30%
23%
48%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1958 |
FEY
2 - 4
BOS
81%
12%
7%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +2 |