Excelsior vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 0
FOR
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
ACH
0 - 0
EXC
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 1
VVV
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 2
EXC
30%
25%
46%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
FCE
2 - 2
HEL
22%
23%
54%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
4 - 0
FCE
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 5
FCE
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FCE
0 - 2
PSV
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
FCE
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |