Excelsior vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
ZWO
1 - 0
EXC
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
4 - 0
FCD
46%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
FCO
1 - 2
EXC
31%
25%
44%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 1
GRA
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
EXC
0 - 1
APE
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
FCE
2 - 4
VOL
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2009 |
BVV
3 - 0
FCE
51%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
FCE
4 - 1
EIN
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
BVO
1 - 0
FCE
69%
19%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |