Excelsior vs Emmen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FCO
2 - 4
EXC
43%
24%
33%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
VOL
52%
23%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 0
FCD
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 2
HEL
47%
24%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
EXC
1 - 4
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Emmen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
VOL
1 - 1
FCE
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 0
HFC
54%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2005 |
FCE
2 - 0
GAE
31%
24%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
HEL
2 - 0
FCE
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2005 |
FCE
1 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |