Excelsior vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
HER
3 - 2
EXC
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
0 - 3
RKC
48%
24%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
RJC
2 - 0
EXC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
EXC
3 - 1
ADO
59%
21%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 1
EXC
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2007 |
AZA
6 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
4 - 1
AZA
57%
22%
21%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 4
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | +1 |