Excelsior vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.4%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
37.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
UTR
2 - 1
EXC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
ADO
32%
31%
37%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
EXC
0 - 1
AZA
36%
30%
34%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 0
EXC
71%
19%
11%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 1
SPA
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1976 |
MVV
2 - 1
AMS
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
AMS
1 - 1
NEC
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
AJA
2 - 0
AMS
82%
12%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 0
TEL
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |