Excelsior vs FC Amsterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
HFC
2 - 0
EXC
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
EXC
1 - 0
AZA
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
MVV
3 - 0
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
EXC
0 - 4
SPA
10%
17%
73%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
EXC
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC Amsterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 2
ADO
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1973 |
BOS
0 - 0
AMS
31%
28%
41%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
AMS
1 - 1
TWE
40%
24%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1973 |
AJA
2 - 1
AMS
90%
6%
4%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
AMS
2 - 0
TEL
66%
20%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |