Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 3
ZWO
55%
24%
20%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
EXC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
ADO
3 - 1
EXC
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1980 |
EXC
3 - 2
GRO
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
DIN
0 - 2
AJA
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
AJA
5 - 2
PSV
62%
20%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 4
WAG
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1980 |
AJA
4 - 2
RJC
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |