Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
57.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
WIL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 1
EXC
63%
22%
16%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
ADO
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
MVV
3 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 2
PSV
19%
24%
57%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 0
SPA
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
AJA
3 - 6
MVV
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |