Excelsior vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AZA
1 - 1
EXC
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 1
HFC
59%
25%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
UTR
3 - 1
EXC
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
EXC
1 - 2
GAE
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FEY
2 - 1
EXC
87%
9%
4%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
AJA
4 - 2
MVV
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 0
AJA
20%
26%
53%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
PSV
1 - 1
AJA
53%
23%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 1
JUV
64%
20%
17%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
AZA
3 - 0
AJA
16%
26%
58%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |