Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
EXC
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 0
GRA
37%
24%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
FCD
1 - 1
EXC
8%
16%
77%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 4
GRO
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
MVV
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
RJC
5 - 0
ADO
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
RKC
4 - 2
ADO
32%
24%
45%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
ADO
2 - 0
FCO
74%
17%
8%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
ADO
4 - 1
NAC
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
ADO
4 - 2
GEM
76%
15%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |