Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 0
WIL
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 3
PSV
16%
20%
64%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
EXC
0 - 1
RJC
50%
24%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 0
EXC
28%
25%
47%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 2
RJC
51%
24%
24%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FEY
0 - 2
ADO
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 1
ADO
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ADO
2 - 1
BVO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
ADO
0 - 1
AJA
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |