Excelsior vs ADO Den Haag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
RJC
3 - 0
EXC
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
2 - 2
GRO
23%
23%
54%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
EXC
1 - 3
NAC
28%
25%
46%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
FEY
1 - 0
EXC
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
WIL
1 - 1
EXC
32%
25%
44%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
ADO Den Haag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 1
SCH
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2011 |
BAS
2 - 1
ADO
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
ADO
2 - 1
WIL
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
RJC
1 - 1
ADO
62%
22%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ADO
0 - 2
AZA
21%
24%
55%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |